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IAIC Market Update - January 9, 2023

Jan 09, 2023

Last Week in the Markets: January 3rd – 6th, 2022

Market Charts

(source: Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/markets, MSCI https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search and ARG Inc. analysis)


What happened last week?

  • Friday provided a welcome uptick in North American equity indexes after jobs data was released. Both the Canadian and American economies continued to generate jobs even after monetary policy moves that have been enacted on both sides of the border. The jobs market demonstrated continued resiliency and provided encouragement on the “interest rate increase vs recession” debate.
  • “Employment rose by 104,000 jobs in December, and the unemployment rate declined by 0.1 percentage points to 5.0%, just above the record low of 4.9% reached in June and July” according to the Statistics Canada release on Friday. Employment levels increased in six provinces and held steady in two territories. (Source
  • Total nonfarm payrolls rose by 223,000 jobs and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5% during December in the United States. Job gains were achieved in leisure and hospitality, health care, construction, and social assistance sectors. (Source
  • The U.S. jobs growth in December was the lowest monthly number in 2022, and the average hourly earnings number is softening, showing that Federal Reserve action is working. Both suggest that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases and tightening of capital markets are beginning to achieve the desired effects of slowing demand that drives economic growth. 
  • More interest rate increases are expected from the Federal Reserve, while the Bank of Canada has said that future increases require additional analysis. Markets responded positively to the jobs data based on monetary policy effectiveness. (Source


What’s ahead for this week?

  • In Canada, November’s building permits, signifying strength or weakness in the construction sector and housing market will be announced. Bank of Canada Governor, Tiff Macklem, will participate in a panel discussion on the risk of climate change.
  • In the U.S., Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, will speak at the Sveriges Riksbank International Symposium in Stockholm on Tuesday. On Thursday, December and year-over-year consumer inflation data will be released.
  • Globally, the European Central Bank will release its latest economic bulletin. Great Britain will report its Gross Domestic Product report for December, the fourth quarter and year-over-year. Italian retail sales, French imports and exports, and German GDP will also be announced. Both China and Japan will release CPI and Producer Price Index (PPI) data for December.


For more information contact:
Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. 
135 Main St. E. Listowel, ON
Phone: 519-291-2817 or TF: 1-877-291-3040
icpmss@iaic.ca

 

This report is produced by Independent Accountants' Investment Counsel Inc (“IAIC”) in conjunction with ARG Inc. All graph and chart statistical data contained in this report has been supplied by ARG Inc. The views and opinions expressed in this report are based on market statistics. No guarantee of outcome is implied and opinions may change without notice. Investors should not base any of their investment decisions solely on this report nor should any opinions expressed within this report be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein. Although the information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that IAIC believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and as such, the information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions, estimates and other information included in this report constitute our judgment as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice.


Please contact your IAIC representative if you have any questions regarding this report. ©Copyright 2022 Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. All rights reserved.

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Fire extinguisher on wall
16 Apr, 2024
On April 5, 2024, an unprecedented fine was levied towards a corporation and its director for violation of the Occupational Health and Safety Act . The corporation was fined $600,000 and the director was fined $80,000, plus a 25% victim surcharge. These are highest fines levied both towards a corporation, and to an individual for a single charge in Canadian history, and is further evidence that governing bodies are serious about enforcing legislation to protect workers and prevent further fatalities and injuries. What can we learn from this? 1. Chemical handling protocols are critical for reducing risk in the workplace. In this case, diesel fuel and gasoline were unintentionally mixed, causing an increased flammable hazard. Ultimately, this mistake resulted in catastrophic explosions and fires that caused the death of 6 people and serious injury of another. 2. Directors are being held increasingly accountable for the workers under their care; specifically, for oversight of middle management/supervisors and ensuring hazards are identified and controlled. While consistent with their legislated duties under the Act, historically directors have not been the target of large fines and charges. Instead, the penalties were previously levied toward front line supervisors and staff. This reflects the growing understanding that senior directors have the most accountability for the workplace and workers, and that they have a duty to know what is happening in their organization. 3. Senior leaders need to have open communication and trust with their workforce to ensure candid and frequent flow of information. Leaders won’t know what is happening, and therefore cannot take action to address risk if the workforce is fearful or apprehensive about reporting their concerns. Consider who in your workplace provides this information and to whom. If you are a leader, what questions should you be asking and what to you need to know? Do you believe that staff are open and honest, without fear of repercussions when delivering bad news? Is there a clear and accessible process for reporting, tracking, and resolving issues? 4. Workplace culture is built from the top. Leaders are responsible for establishing systems and structures that support a culture that prioritizes worker safety. Blame-centered culture reinforces our natural instinct of self preservation over disclosure; silence and secrecy over candor and open communication. Also, actions mean more than words. Leaders need to ensure actions and directives echo policy statements, and vice versa. So, what can you do? Ensure that you have an environment where staff feel comfortable reporting issues, where supervisors and managers appreciate staff input and take action to address these concerns. Having little or no reported concerns is a red flag and is a prime indicator that staff do not understand or feel comfortable reporting issues. Ensure that staff are trained about the specific tasks and hazards in your workplace, not just general safety measures, and equip supervisors and managers with the tools and knowledge they need to be successful and manage the workers under their care. To read more about the incident, the Ministry of Labour, Labour, Immigration, Training and Skills Development has published a court bulletin: https://news.ontario.ca/mlitsd/en For any assistance or answers about how you can bolster your health and safety systems and due diligence, contact our resident safety expert Jennifer Goertzen, CRSP .
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As we near the end of Tax Season, please note our office hours below:  Hours until April 29th Monday – Friday 8:30am – 5:30pm Thursday evenings 6:30pm – 8:00pm (closed from 5:30pm- 6:30pm) Saturdays 9:00am – 12:00pm Hours on April 30th 8:30am – 5:00pm Hours May 1st – May 3rd Closed Hours beginning May 6th Monday – Thursday 8:30am – 5:00pm Friday 8:30am – 4:30pm
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