Ward & Uptigrove

IAIC Market Update - January 16, 2023

Jan 16, 2023

Last Week in the Markets: January 9th – 13th, 2022

Market Charts

(source: Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/markets, MSCI https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search and ARG Inc. analysis)


What happened last week?

  • Thursday’s release of U.S. consumer inflation data continued the run of positive performance for equities so far in 2023. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.1% in December and compared to December 2021 prices have risen 6.5% on a year-over-year basis. Inflation had peaked in June at 9.1% and had been 7.1% in November 2022. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy from the basket of consumer goods and services, rose 0.3% in December and 5.7% over the last year. 
  • “The index for gasoline was by far the largest contributor to the monthly all items decrease, more than offsetting increases in shelter indexes” according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 
  • The overall rate of consumer price increases suggests that past monetary policy moves have begun to affect inflation. Both the Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve have raised their policy interest rates by 4% since March of 2022. 
  • Canadian consumer inflation data for December will be released next week, which will provide some guidance for the Bank of Canada. CPI was 6.9% in October and 6.8% in November on a year-over-year basis. The next scheduled interest rate announcement for the Bank of Canada is January 25th and will include the quarterly Monetary Policy Report.

(Source1, Source2, Source3, Source4,)


What’s ahead for this week?

  • In Canada, manufacturing sales, wholesale sales, retail sales, and housing starts will be released. The most important report will announce consumer and producer inflation for December.
  • In the U.S., markets will be closed on Monday for the observance of Martin Luther King, Jr Day. Producer inflation, retail sales, mortgage market index, industrial and manufacturing production, building permits, housing starts, and existing home sales will be reported.
  • Globally, consumer inflation releases continue with Germany and Italy contributing their country-data, as well as the entire Eurozone report. On Friday the European Central Bank Chair, Christine Lagarde will speak. China will release its fourth quarter Gross Domestic Product, industrial production, retail sales and unemployment rate. The Bank of Japan has an interest rate decision scheduled for Tuesday.


For more information contact:
Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. 
135 Main St. E. Listowel, ON
Phone: 519-291-2817 or TF: 1-877-291-3040
icpmss@iaic.ca

 

This report is produced by Independent Accountants' Investment Counsel Inc (“IAIC”) in conjunction with ARG Inc. All graph and chart statistical data contained in this report has been supplied by ARG Inc. The views and opinions expressed in this report are based on market statistics. No guarantee of outcome is implied and opinions may change without notice. Investors should not base any of their investment decisions solely on this report nor should any opinions expressed within this report be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein. Although the information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that IAIC believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and as such, the information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions, estimates and other information included in this report constitute our judgment as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice.


Please contact your IAIC representative if you have any questions regarding this report. ©Copyright 2022 Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. All rights reserved.

17 Apr, 2024
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Fire extinguisher on wall
16 Apr, 2024
On April 5, 2024, an unprecedented fine was levied towards a corporation and its director for violation of the Occupational Health and Safety Act . The corporation was fined $600,000 and the director was fined $80,000, plus a 25% victim surcharge. These are highest fines levied both towards a corporation, and to an individual for a single charge in Canadian history, and is further evidence that governing bodies are serious about enforcing legislation to protect workers and prevent further fatalities and injuries. What can we learn from this? 1. Chemical handling protocols are critical for reducing risk in the workplace. In this case, diesel fuel and gasoline were unintentionally mixed, causing an increased flammable hazard. Ultimately, this mistake resulted in catastrophic explosions and fires that caused the death of 6 people and serious injury of another. 2. Directors are being held increasingly accountable for the workers under their care; specifically, for oversight of middle management/supervisors and ensuring hazards are identified and controlled. While consistent with their legislated duties under the Act, historically directors have not been the target of large fines and charges. Instead, the penalties were previously levied toward front line supervisors and staff. This reflects the growing understanding that senior directors have the most accountability for the workplace and workers, and that they have a duty to know what is happening in their organization. 3. Senior leaders need to have open communication and trust with their workforce to ensure candid and frequent flow of information. Leaders won’t know what is happening, and therefore cannot take action to address risk if the workforce is fearful or apprehensive about reporting their concerns. Consider who in your workplace provides this information and to whom. If you are a leader, what questions should you be asking and what to you need to know? Do you believe that staff are open and honest, without fear of repercussions when delivering bad news? Is there a clear and accessible process for reporting, tracking, and resolving issues? 4. Workplace culture is built from the top. Leaders are responsible for establishing systems and structures that support a culture that prioritizes worker safety. Blame-centered culture reinforces our natural instinct of self preservation over disclosure; silence and secrecy over candor and open communication. Also, actions mean more than words. Leaders need to ensure actions and directives echo policy statements, and vice versa. So, what can you do? Ensure that you have an environment where staff feel comfortable reporting issues, where supervisors and managers appreciate staff input and take action to address these concerns. Having little or no reported concerns is a red flag and is a prime indicator that staff do not understand or feel comfortable reporting issues. Ensure that staff are trained about the specific tasks and hazards in your workplace, not just general safety measures, and equip supervisors and managers with the tools and knowledge they need to be successful and manage the workers under their care. To read more about the incident, the Ministry of Labour, Labour, Immigration, Training and Skills Development has published a court bulletin: https://news.ontario.ca/mlitsd/en For any assistance or answers about how you can bolster your health and safety systems and due diligence, contact our resident safety expert Jennifer Goertzen, CRSP .
12 Apr, 2024
As we near the end of Tax Season, please note our office hours below:  Hours until April 29th Monday – Friday 8:30am – 5:30pm Thursday evenings 6:30pm – 8:00pm (closed from 5:30pm- 6:30pm) Saturdays 9:00am – 12:00pm Hours on April 30th 8:30am – 5:00pm Hours May 1st – May 3rd Closed Hours beginning May 6th Monday – Thursday 8:30am – 5:00pm Friday 8:30am – 4:30pm
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