Ward & Uptigrove

IAIC Market Update - August 29, 2022

Aug 30, 2022

Last Week in the Markets: August 22nd – 26th, 2022

Market Charts

(source: Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/markets, MSCI https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search and ARG Inc. analysis)


What happened last week?

  • After a short rally on Wednesday and Thursday, equity markets stumbled on Friday. At 10 am Eastern, Jerome Powell, Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank delivered brief remarks at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium. He believes that the benchmark “federal funds” rate has reached its long-run neutral level, and further rate increases will be required to return consumer inflation to the Fed’s long-term target of 2%. In a shorter, more narrowly focused, and direct message, he stated that three lessons from previous periods apply to the current situation:

1. Central banks can and should take responsibility for low and stable inflation. Although, the Fed’s actions only address the demand-side of the supply/demand imbalance that is driving current inflation, their responsibility is not reduced.

2. The public’s expectations about future inflation can play a key role in setting the path of inflation over time. The anticipation of high inflation can become entrenched in decision making for businesses and households, because “inflation feeds, in part, on itself”.

3. The Federal Reserve “must keep at it until the job is done”. The Fed must act with resolve now by taking forceful and rapid steps to moderate demand, align it with supply, and lower expectations of high inflation.

Powell’s full remarks can be found here

  • The remarks, which indicated that interest rates will go higher and remain high until inflation is tamed, caused equity markets to drop. The S&P 500 tumbled 3.4%, the Dow fell 3%, the NASDAQ lost 3.9%, while the TSX dripped 1.5% on Friday following Powell’s speech. (Source


What’s ahead for this week?

  • In Canada, Gross Domestic Product for June and for the second quarter will be released with July’s building permits, manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and labour productivity. 
  • In the U.S., following the Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting several members of the FOMC (Brainard, Barkin, Bostic, Williams) will deliver speeches this week. The JOLTs job opening, housing price index, mortgage marketing and mortgage refinance indexes, PMIs, factory orders and August non-farm payroll numbers will be released.
  • Globally, Eurozone business climate, consumer confidence and consumer inflation expectation will be announced along with their consumer inflation figures. Also, Japan’s unemployment, industrial production, retail sales, housing starts, and construction orders will be released along with China’s industrial profit, manufacturing, and non-manufacturing PMIs.


For more information contact:
Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. 
135 Main St. E. Listowel, ON
Phone: 519-291-2817 or TF: 1-877-291-3040
icpmss@iaic.ca

 

This report is produced by Independent Accountants' Investment Counsel Inc (“IAIC”) in conjunction with ARG Inc. All graph and chart statistical data contained in this report has been supplied by ARG Inc. The views and opinions expressed in this report are based on market statistics. No guarantee of outcome is implied and opinions may change without notice. Investors should not base any of their investment decisions solely on this report nor should any opinions expressed within this report be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein. Although the information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that IAIC believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and as such, the information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions, estimates and other information included in this report constitute our judgment as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice.


Please contact your IAIC representative if you have any questions regarding this report. ©Copyright 2022 Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. All rights reserved.

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Fire extinguisher on wall
16 Apr, 2024
On April 5, 2024, an unprecedented fine was levied towards a corporation and its director for violation of the Occupational Health and Safety Act . The corporation was fined $600,000 and the director was fined $80,000, plus a 25% victim surcharge. These are highest fines levied both towards a corporation, and to an individual for a single charge in Canadian history, and is further evidence that governing bodies are serious about enforcing legislation to protect workers and prevent further fatalities and injuries. What can we learn from this? 1. Chemical handling protocols are critical for reducing risk in the workplace. In this case, diesel fuel and gasoline were unintentionally mixed, causing an increased flammable hazard. Ultimately, this mistake resulted in catastrophic explosions and fires that caused the death of 6 people and serious injury of another. 2. Directors are being held increasingly accountable for the workers under their care; specifically, for oversight of middle management/supervisors and ensuring hazards are identified and controlled. While consistent with their legislated duties under the Act, historically directors have not been the target of large fines and charges. Instead, the penalties were previously levied toward front line supervisors and staff. This reflects the growing understanding that senior directors have the most accountability for the workplace and workers, and that they have a duty to know what is happening in their organization. 3. Senior leaders need to have open communication and trust with their workforce to ensure candid and frequent flow of information. Leaders won’t know what is happening, and therefore cannot take action to address risk if the workforce is fearful or apprehensive about reporting their concerns. Consider who in your workplace provides this information and to whom. If you are a leader, what questions should you be asking and what to you need to know? Do you believe that staff are open and honest, without fear of repercussions when delivering bad news? Is there a clear and accessible process for reporting, tracking, and resolving issues? 4. Workplace culture is built from the top. Leaders are responsible for establishing systems and structures that support a culture that prioritizes worker safety. Blame-centered culture reinforces our natural instinct of self preservation over disclosure; silence and secrecy over candor and open communication. Also, actions mean more than words. Leaders need to ensure actions and directives echo policy statements, and vice versa. So, what can you do? Ensure that you have an environment where staff feel comfortable reporting issues, where supervisors and managers appreciate staff input and take action to address these concerns. Having little or no reported concerns is a red flag and is a prime indicator that staff do not understand or feel comfortable reporting issues. Ensure that staff are trained about the specific tasks and hazards in your workplace, not just general safety measures, and equip supervisors and managers with the tools and knowledge they need to be successful and manage the workers under their care. To read more about the incident, the Ministry of Labour, Labour, Immigration, Training and Skills Development has published a court bulletin: https://news.ontario.ca/mlitsd/en For any assistance or answers about how you can bolster your health and safety systems and due diligence, contact our resident safety expert Jennifer Goertzen, CRSP .
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As we near the end of Tax Season, please note our office hours below:  Hours until April 29th Monday – Friday 8:30am – 5:30pm Thursday evenings 6:30pm – 8:00pm (closed from 5:30pm- 6:30pm) Saturdays 9:00am – 12:00pm Hours on April 30th 8:30am – 5:00pm Hours May 1st – May 3rd Closed Hours beginning May 6th Monday – Thursday 8:30am – 5:00pm Friday 8:30am – 4:30pm
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