Ward & Uptigrove

IAIC Market Update - August 22, 2022

Aug 22, 2022

Last Week in the Markets: August 15th – 19th, 2022

Market Charts

(source: Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/markets, MSCI https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search and ARG Inc. analysis)


What happened last week?

  • Canadian consumer inflation data was released last week, and it continued the trend of tempering which is also occurring in the U.S. Falling gasoline prices offset rising food costs to drop July’s year-over-year inflation rate to 7.6%, down from 8.1% in June. For the seventh consecutive month, price rose on a month-to-month basis, but only slightly at 0.1% over the course of July. Gasoline prices dropped 9.2% in July while groceries (food bought at stores) rose by 9.4%. Even after removing the two most volatile categories, food and energy, consumer inflation is still running at 5.5%, which much higher than the Bank of Canada’s 2% target. (Source
  • The pressure on the Bank of Canada to rapidly raise interest rates is easing, but it has not abated as inflation is well above the 2% target. 
  • Rising interest rates resulting from monetary policy actions already undertaken by the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve have contributed to a slowdown in the U.S. housing market. In July, residential building permits fell by 1.3% overall and 4.3% for single family homes. Housing starts dropped 9.6% in July and have fallen by 8.1% compared to July 2021. Similar effects are expected to occur across Canada when comprehensive housing data is released here. (Source
  • The higher interest rates, which will increase further despite slowing inflation, are expected to negatively affect corporate earnings. The highly resilient corporate profits are predicted to fall as the second half of 2022 is reported. The equity markets reflected that sentiment last week. (Source


What’s ahead for this week?

  • In Canada, after several busy weeks for economic announcements, a light week is planned with the new housing price index, wholesale sales and the federal government’s budget balance scheduled.
  • In the U.S., Purchasing Managers Indexes from PMI will be announced and accompany pending home sales, new home sales, durable goods orders, personal income and spending, and Gross Domestic Product for the second quarter. The Federal Reserve will hold its annual Jackson Hole Symposium.
  • Globally, Japan’s Consumer Price Index and China’s industrial profit will be released. The European Central Bank will publish their monetary policy meeting minutes. Consumer confidence numbers will be announced by Italy, France, and Germany.


For more information contact:
Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. 
135 Main St. E. Listowel, ON
Phone: 519-291-2817 or TF: 1-877-291-3040
icpmss@iaic.ca

 

This report is produced by Independent Accountants' Investment Counsel Inc (“IAIC”) in conjunction with ARG Inc. All graph and chart statistical data contained in this report has been supplied by ARG Inc. The views and opinions expressed in this report are based on market statistics. No guarantee of outcome is implied and opinions may change without notice. Investors should not base any of their investment decisions solely on this report nor should any opinions expressed within this report be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein. Although the information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that IAIC believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and as such, the information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions, estimates and other information included in this report constitute our judgment as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice.


Please contact your IAIC representative if you have any questions regarding this report. ©Copyright 2022 Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. All rights reserved.

17 Apr, 2024
On April 16, 2024, the Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister, the Honourable Chrystia Freeland, presented Budget 2024 – Fairness for Every Generation , to the House of Commons. No changes were made to personal or corporate tax rates. Some highlights include: A. Personal Measures Increase to the capital gains inclusion rate to 2/3, however individuals will retain the 1/2 inclusion rate on the first $250,000 of capital gains annually. Increase to the lifetime maximum capital gains exemption, and two new incentives on specific types of business sales. Modifications to the proposed amendments to focus the alternative minimum tax regime on high-income individuals. B. Business Measures Canada carbon rebate for small businesses that will begin by delivering payments to eligible CCPCs for five years of carbon tax. Accelerated capital cost allowance on purpose-built residential rental properties. Immediate expensing of certain productivity-enhancing assets, including computer hardware, acquired on or after April 16, 2024. C. International Measures Crypto-asset reporting framework that will require annual reporting by crypto-asset service providers on their clients’ activities using these assets.
Fire extinguisher on wall
16 Apr, 2024
On April 5, 2024, an unprecedented fine was levied towards a corporation and its director for violation of the Occupational Health and Safety Act . The corporation was fined $600,000 and the director was fined $80,000, plus a 25% victim surcharge. These are highest fines levied both towards a corporation, and to an individual for a single charge in Canadian history, and is further evidence that governing bodies are serious about enforcing legislation to protect workers and prevent further fatalities and injuries. What can we learn from this? 1. Chemical handling protocols are critical for reducing risk in the workplace. In this case, diesel fuel and gasoline were unintentionally mixed, causing an increased flammable hazard. Ultimately, this mistake resulted in catastrophic explosions and fires that caused the death of 6 people and serious injury of another. 2. Directors are being held increasingly accountable for the workers under their care; specifically, for oversight of middle management/supervisors and ensuring hazards are identified and controlled. While consistent with their legislated duties under the Act, historically directors have not been the target of large fines and charges. Instead, the penalties were previously levied toward front line supervisors and staff. This reflects the growing understanding that senior directors have the most accountability for the workplace and workers, and that they have a duty to know what is happening in their organization. 3. Senior leaders need to have open communication and trust with their workforce to ensure candid and frequent flow of information. Leaders won’t know what is happening, and therefore cannot take action to address risk if the workforce is fearful or apprehensive about reporting their concerns. Consider who in your workplace provides this information and to whom. If you are a leader, what questions should you be asking and what to you need to know? Do you believe that staff are open and honest, without fear of repercussions when delivering bad news? Is there a clear and accessible process for reporting, tracking, and resolving issues? 4. Workplace culture is built from the top. Leaders are responsible for establishing systems and structures that support a culture that prioritizes worker safety. Blame-centered culture reinforces our natural instinct of self preservation over disclosure; silence and secrecy over candor and open communication. Also, actions mean more than words. Leaders need to ensure actions and directives echo policy statements, and vice versa. So, what can you do? Ensure that you have an environment where staff feel comfortable reporting issues, where supervisors and managers appreciate staff input and take action to address these concerns. Having little or no reported concerns is a red flag and is a prime indicator that staff do not understand or feel comfortable reporting issues. Ensure that staff are trained about the specific tasks and hazards in your workplace, not just general safety measures, and equip supervisors and managers with the tools and knowledge they need to be successful and manage the workers under their care. To read more about the incident, the Ministry of Labour, Labour, Immigration, Training and Skills Development has published a court bulletin: https://news.ontario.ca/mlitsd/en For any assistance or answers about how you can bolster your health and safety systems and due diligence, contact our resident safety expert Jennifer Goertzen, CRSP .
12 Apr, 2024
As we near the end of Tax Season, please note our office hours below:  Hours until April 29th Monday – Friday 8:30am – 5:30pm Thursday evenings 6:30pm – 8:00pm (closed from 5:30pm- 6:30pm) Saturdays 9:00am – 12:00pm Hours on April 30th 8:30am – 5:00pm Hours May 1st – May 3rd Closed Hours beginning May 6th Monday – Thursday 8:30am – 5:00pm Friday 8:30am – 4:30pm
Share by: