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IAIC Market Update - October 24, 2022

Oct 24, 2022

Last Week in the Markets: October 17th – 21st, 2022

Market Charts

(source: Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/markets, MSCI https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search and ARG Inc. analysis)


What happened last week?

  • North American equity indicis had a strong week Monday to Thursday, and Friday was almost as good as the preceding four days when the indicis jumped 1.5 to 2.5% on the final trading day of the week.
  • Although it was an exceptionally strong week for equities, not all the news was positive. Chrystia Freeland, the federal Finance Minister, warned that a domestic economic slowdown is expected in the coming months. She indicated that this is the natural consequence of the Bank of Canada’s interest rate increases enacted to attack inflation. (Source
  • Canadian consumer inflation was above expectations on a monthly and annual basis. Although inflation moderated slightly from 7.0% in August to 6.9% in September on a year-over-year basis prices increased in September by 0.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis. The decline in gasoline prices was largely responsible for moderating the monthly increase as price increases in other areas, like groceries, continued their trajectory. (Source
  • There is growing sentiment that the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada are getting closer to the end of their rate-hiking cycle. The need to “front load” rate-increases, raising rates early to cause an effect sooner, is believed to reduce the overall negative effects by ending high inflation sooner. Another result as inflation begins to come under control is that future interest rate increases are reduced. Central banks continue to walk the fine line of slowing the economy to reduce inflation, while not dropping into a recession. (Source)


What’s ahead for this week?

  • In Canada, the scheduled economic releases are few, but important for the coming week. Manufacturing sales will be released just prior to the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy report and interest rate announcement, which precedes Gross Domestic Product and the Budget Balance for August.
  • In the U.S., the house price index, mortgage market index, new home sales, goods trade balance, crude oil, heating oil and gasoline reserves, wholesale inventories, durable goods orders, consumer spending, Q3 GDP will be released along with the influential Core PCE price index.
  • Globally, the scheduled announcements include China’s house price index, Q3 GDP, industrial production, retail sales, trade balance, Japan’s CPI, Bank of Japan interest rate decision, employment report, and the European Central Bank’s interest rate decision on Thursday.

For more information contact:
Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. 
135 Main St. E. Listowel, ON
Phone: 519-291-2817 or TF: 1-877-291-3040
icpmss@iaic.ca

 

This report is produced by Independent Accountants' Investment Counsel Inc (“IAIC”) in conjunction with ARG Inc. All graph and chart statistical data contained in this report has been supplied by ARG Inc. The views and opinions expressed in this report are based on market statistics. No guarantee of outcome is implied and opinions may change without notice. Investors should not base any of their investment decisions solely on this report nor should any opinions expressed within this report be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein. Although the information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that IAIC believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and as such, the information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions, estimates and other information included in this report constitute our judgment as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice.


Please contact your IAIC representative if you have any questions regarding this report. ©Copyright 2022 Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. All rights reserved.

17 Apr, 2024
On April 16, 2024, the Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister, the Honourable Chrystia Freeland, presented Budget 2024 – Fairness for Every Generation , to the House of Commons. No changes were made to personal or corporate tax rates. Some highlights include: A. Personal Measures Increase to the capital gains inclusion rate to 2/3, however individuals will retain the 1/2 inclusion rate on the first $250,000 of capital gains annually. Increase to the lifetime maximum capital gains exemption, and two new incentives on specific types of business sales. Modifications to the proposed amendments to focus the alternative minimum tax regime on high-income individuals. B. Business Measures Canada carbon rebate for small businesses that will begin by delivering payments to eligible CCPCs for five years of carbon tax. Accelerated capital cost allowance on purpose-built residential rental properties. Immediate expensing of certain productivity-enhancing assets, including computer hardware, acquired on or after April 16, 2024. C. International Measures Crypto-asset reporting framework that will require annual reporting by crypto-asset service providers on their clients’ activities using these assets.
Fire extinguisher on wall
16 Apr, 2024
On April 5, 2024, an unprecedented fine was levied towards a corporation and its director for violation of the Occupational Health and Safety Act . The corporation was fined $600,000 and the director was fined $80,000, plus a 25% victim surcharge. These are highest fines levied both towards a corporation, and to an individual for a single charge in Canadian history, and is further evidence that governing bodies are serious about enforcing legislation to protect workers and prevent further fatalities and injuries. What can we learn from this? 1. Chemical handling protocols are critical for reducing risk in the workplace. In this case, diesel fuel and gasoline were unintentionally mixed, causing an increased flammable hazard. Ultimately, this mistake resulted in catastrophic explosions and fires that caused the death of 6 people and serious injury of another. 2. Directors are being held increasingly accountable for the workers under their care; specifically, for oversight of middle management/supervisors and ensuring hazards are identified and controlled. While consistent with their legislated duties under the Act, historically directors have not been the target of large fines and charges. Instead, the penalties were previously levied toward front line supervisors and staff. This reflects the growing understanding that senior directors have the most accountability for the workplace and workers, and that they have a duty to know what is happening in their organization. 3. Senior leaders need to have open communication and trust with their workforce to ensure candid and frequent flow of information. Leaders won’t know what is happening, and therefore cannot take action to address risk if the workforce is fearful or apprehensive about reporting their concerns. Consider who in your workplace provides this information and to whom. If you are a leader, what questions should you be asking and what to you need to know? Do you believe that staff are open and honest, without fear of repercussions when delivering bad news? Is there a clear and accessible process for reporting, tracking, and resolving issues? 4. Workplace culture is built from the top. Leaders are responsible for establishing systems and structures that support a culture that prioritizes worker safety. Blame-centered culture reinforces our natural instinct of self preservation over disclosure; silence and secrecy over candor and open communication. Also, actions mean more than words. Leaders need to ensure actions and directives echo policy statements, and vice versa. So, what can you do? Ensure that you have an environment where staff feel comfortable reporting issues, where supervisors and managers appreciate staff input and take action to address these concerns. Having little or no reported concerns is a red flag and is a prime indicator that staff do not understand or feel comfortable reporting issues. Ensure that staff are trained about the specific tasks and hazards in your workplace, not just general safety measures, and equip supervisors and managers with the tools and knowledge they need to be successful and manage the workers under their care. To read more about the incident, the Ministry of Labour, Labour, Immigration, Training and Skills Development has published a court bulletin: https://news.ontario.ca/mlitsd/en For any assistance or answers about how you can bolster your health and safety systems and due diligence, contact our resident safety expert Jennifer Goertzen, CRSP .
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As we near the end of Tax Season, please note our office hours below:  Hours until April 29th Monday – Friday 8:30am – 5:30pm Thursday evenings 6:30pm – 8:00pm (closed from 5:30pm- 6:30pm) Saturdays 9:00am – 12:00pm Hours on April 30th 8:30am – 5:00pm Hours May 1st – May 3rd Closed Hours beginning May 6th Monday – Thursday 8:30am – 5:00pm Friday 8:30am – 4:30pm
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