Ward & Uptigrove

IAIC Market Update - June 19, 2023

Jun 20, 2023

Last Week in the Markets: June 12th – 16th, 2023

Market Charts

(source: Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/markets, MSCI https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search and ARG Inc. analysis)


What happened last week?

  • Markets moved ahead broadly last week, as North American and global equities positively interpreted two significant and related announcements on inflation and interest rates.
  • On Tuesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported consumer inflation for May. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1% during the month after increasing by 0.4% in April. The year-over-year inflation rate dropped significantly to 4.0% after sitting at 4.9% at the end of April. The annual rate of inflation fell for the 11th consecutive month. 
  • On Wednesday the Federal Reserve released its latest monetary policy. For the first time in the last 11 interest rate announcements, rates were unchanged. Since inflation remains well above the 2% target, nearly all of the Fed Governors believe that additional rate hikes will be necessary, suggesting that the pause on June 14th is only temporary. The Bank of Canada had increased rates at 8 consecutive meetings, then paused in March and April, and then raised rates by ¼% on June 7th. Domestic and international inflation and monetary policy guided the Canadian central bank’s return to rate increases. Inflation and interest rates elsewhere are less influential for the Federal Reserve.
  • Additionally, on Friday the Eurozone released year-over-year inflation information for May with the Consumer Price Index at 6.1%, down from 7% in April.
  • This news positively affected American equities most with NASDAQ and S&P500 gaining 3¼% and 2½%, respectively. The Dow topped a 1% gain for the week, while the TSX rose less than ½%.

Source: Consumer Price Index Summary, BoC Release, NYTimes & Fed, Euro Area Inflation Rate 


What’s ahead for this week?

  • In Canada, producer and raw materials prices and inflation, new housing price index, retail sales, federal government budget balance, and the Bank of Canada’s deliberations from its interest rate decision of June 7th will be released.
  • In the U.S., after a busy week last week with an inflation and interest rate announcement, indicators will focus on housing with building permits, housing starts, existing home sales scheduled for release.
  • Globally, consumer and producer inflation data will be released for the U.K. just prior to a Bank of England interest rate announcement. The European Central Bank will conduct a General Council Meeting. Japan will report its industrial production and capacity utilization and release monetary policy meeting minutes from the Bank of Japan.


For more information contact:
Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. 
135 Main St. E. Listowel, ON
Phone: 519-291-2817 or TF: 1-877-291-3040
icpmss@iaic.ca

 

This report is produced by Independent Accountants' Investment Counsel Inc (“IAIC”) in conjunction with ARG Inc. All graph and chart statistical data contained in this report has been supplied by ARG Inc. The views and opinions expressed in this report are based on market statistics. No guarantee of outcome is implied and opinions may change without notice. Investors should not base any of their investment decisions solely on this report nor should any opinions expressed within this report be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein. Although the information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that IAIC believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and as such, the information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions, estimates and other information included in this report constitute our judgment as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice.


Please contact your IAIC representative if you have any questions regarding this report. ©Copyright 2023 Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. All rights reserved.

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Fire extinguisher on wall
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On April 5, 2024, an unprecedented fine was levied towards a corporation and its director for violation of the Occupational Health and Safety Act . The corporation was fined $600,000 and the director was fined $80,000, plus a 25% victim surcharge. These are highest fines levied both towards a corporation, and to an individual for a single charge in Canadian history, and is further evidence that governing bodies are serious about enforcing legislation to protect workers and prevent further fatalities and injuries. What can we learn from this? 1. Chemical handling protocols are critical for reducing risk in the workplace. In this case, diesel fuel and gasoline were unintentionally mixed, causing an increased flammable hazard. Ultimately, this mistake resulted in catastrophic explosions and fires that caused the death of 6 people and serious injury of another. 2. Directors are being held increasingly accountable for the workers under their care; specifically, for oversight of middle management/supervisors and ensuring hazards are identified and controlled. While consistent with their legislated duties under the Act, historically directors have not been the target of large fines and charges. Instead, the penalties were previously levied toward front line supervisors and staff. This reflects the growing understanding that senior directors have the most accountability for the workplace and workers, and that they have a duty to know what is happening in their organization. 3. Senior leaders need to have open communication and trust with their workforce to ensure candid and frequent flow of information. Leaders won’t know what is happening, and therefore cannot take action to address risk if the workforce is fearful or apprehensive about reporting their concerns. Consider who in your workplace provides this information and to whom. If you are a leader, what questions should you be asking and what to you need to know? Do you believe that staff are open and honest, without fear of repercussions when delivering bad news? Is there a clear and accessible process for reporting, tracking, and resolving issues? 4. Workplace culture is built from the top. Leaders are responsible for establishing systems and structures that support a culture that prioritizes worker safety. Blame-centered culture reinforces our natural instinct of self preservation over disclosure; silence and secrecy over candor and open communication. Also, actions mean more than words. Leaders need to ensure actions and directives echo policy statements, and vice versa. So, what can you do? Ensure that you have an environment where staff feel comfortable reporting issues, where supervisors and managers appreciate staff input and take action to address these concerns. Having little or no reported concerns is a red flag and is a prime indicator that staff do not understand or feel comfortable reporting issues. Ensure that staff are trained about the specific tasks and hazards in your workplace, not just general safety measures, and equip supervisors and managers with the tools and knowledge they need to be successful and manage the workers under their care. To read more about the incident, the Ministry of Labour, Labour, Immigration, Training and Skills Development has published a court bulletin: https://news.ontario.ca/mlitsd/en For any assistance or answers about how you can bolster your health and safety systems and due diligence, contact our resident safety expert Jennifer Goertzen, CRSP .
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As we near the end of Tax Season, please note our office hours below:  Hours until April 29th Monday – Friday 8:30am – 5:30pm Thursday evenings 6:30pm – 8:00pm (closed from 5:30pm- 6:30pm) Saturdays 9:00am – 12:00pm Hours on April 30th 8:30am – 5:00pm Hours May 1st – May 3rd Closed Hours beginning May 6th Monday – Thursday 8:30am – 5:00pm Friday 8:30am – 4:30pm
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