Ward & Uptigrove

IAIC Market Update - April 24, 2023

Apr 24, 2023

Last Week in the Markets: April 17th – 21st, 2023

Market Charts

(source: Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/markets, MSCI https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search and ARG Inc. analysis)


What happened last week?

  • Canada’s TSX was the only major North American index to gain ground last week. Its rise of ½% may be modest compared to some week’s gains and losses, but it outpaced its continental rivals, and all other indicators in the grid, above.
  • On Tuesday StatsCan released consumer inflation numbers that showed prices have risen 4.3% in the March-to-March timeframe. One month earlier the year-over-year inflation rate was 5.2%. Much of the decline in this March’s annualized inflation rate can be attributed to the steep monthly price increases experienced in March 2022, which were 1.4%. In March 2023 consumer prices rose 0.5%. Last month food prices rose 8.9%, shelter increased by 5.4%, health and personal care rose 6.5%, while gasoline fell by 13.8%. 
  • On Thursday Tiff Macklem and Carolyn Rogers, Bank of Canada Governor, and Senior Deputy Governor, respectively, testified in Ottawa. The central bankers indicated that rate cuts are not expected in 2023, and a slowdown, not a recession, is expected in Canada. Some concern was expressed that further increases to government spending could contribute to inflation as the public service strike continues, and 150,000 federal workers seek higher wages. The robust job market could continue to fuel inflation, which could also delay interest rate cuts or lead to rate increases. The Bank of Canada’s overall view is that inflation will come under control and the economy will experience a soft landing. Several months will need to pass before we know whether this prediction has become reality. 

Source: StatsCan's CPI release, Inflation Soft Landing, CBC's take on BoC testimony

What’s ahead for this week?

  • In Canada, February’s Gross Domestic Product data, and March’s new housing price index, wholesale sales, and manufacturing sales are scheduled for release. Also, the Bank of Canada will release its summary of deliberations from the last interest rate decision.
  • In the U.S., the house price index, new home sales, mortgage market index and pending home sales will provide insight to the housing market for March. Consumer confidence, durable goods orders, along with Q1 Gross Domestic Product and Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, will also be reported.
  • Globally, Japan will release a number of economic indicators including its Consumer Price Index, industrial production, retail sales and unemployment. In the Eurozone, German and French consumer confidence and spending, consumer inflation and Gross Domestic Product numbers will be released.


For more information contact:
Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. 
135 Main St. E. Listowel, ON
Phone: 519-291-2817 or TF: 1-877-291-3040
icpmss@iaic.ca

 

This report is produced by Independent Accountants' Investment Counsel Inc (“IAIC”) in conjunction with ARG Inc. All graph and chart statistical data contained in this report has been supplied by ARG Inc. The views and opinions expressed in this report are based on market statistics. No guarantee of outcome is implied and opinions may change without notice. Investors should not base any of their investment decisions solely on this report nor should any opinions expressed within this report be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein. Although the information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that IAIC believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and as such, the information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions, estimates and other information included in this report constitute our judgment as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice.


Please contact your IAIC representative if you have any questions regarding this report. ©Copyright 2023 Independent Accountants’ Investment Counsel Inc. All rights reserved.

17 Apr, 2024
On April 16, 2024, the Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister, the Honourable Chrystia Freeland, presented Budget 2024 – Fairness for Every Generation , to the House of Commons. No changes were made to personal or corporate tax rates. Some highlights include: A. Personal Measures Increase to the capital gains inclusion rate to 2/3, however individuals will retain the 1/2 inclusion rate on the first $250,000 of capital gains annually. Increase to the lifetime maximum capital gains exemption, and two new incentives on specific types of business sales. Modifications to the proposed amendments to focus the alternative minimum tax regime on high-income individuals. B. Business Measures Canada carbon rebate for small businesses that will begin by delivering payments to eligible CCPCs for five years of carbon tax. Accelerated capital cost allowance on purpose-built residential rental properties. Immediate expensing of certain productivity-enhancing assets, including computer hardware, acquired on or after April 16, 2024. C. International Measures Crypto-asset reporting framework that will require annual reporting by crypto-asset service providers on their clients’ activities using these assets.
Fire extinguisher on wall
16 Apr, 2024
On April 5, 2024, an unprecedented fine was levied towards a corporation and its director for violation of the Occupational Health and Safety Act . The corporation was fined $600,000 and the director was fined $80,000, plus a 25% victim surcharge. These are highest fines levied both towards a corporation, and to an individual for a single charge in Canadian history, and is further evidence that governing bodies are serious about enforcing legislation to protect workers and prevent further fatalities and injuries. What can we learn from this? 1. Chemical handling protocols are critical for reducing risk in the workplace. In this case, diesel fuel and gasoline were unintentionally mixed, causing an increased flammable hazard. Ultimately, this mistake resulted in catastrophic explosions and fires that caused the death of 6 people and serious injury of another. 2. Directors are being held increasingly accountable for the workers under their care; specifically, for oversight of middle management/supervisors and ensuring hazards are identified and controlled. While consistent with their legislated duties under the Act, historically directors have not been the target of large fines and charges. Instead, the penalties were previously levied toward front line supervisors and staff. This reflects the growing understanding that senior directors have the most accountability for the workplace and workers, and that they have a duty to know what is happening in their organization. 3. Senior leaders need to have open communication and trust with their workforce to ensure candid and frequent flow of information. Leaders won’t know what is happening, and therefore cannot take action to address risk if the workforce is fearful or apprehensive about reporting their concerns. Consider who in your workplace provides this information and to whom. If you are a leader, what questions should you be asking and what to you need to know? Do you believe that staff are open and honest, without fear of repercussions when delivering bad news? Is there a clear and accessible process for reporting, tracking, and resolving issues? 4. Workplace culture is built from the top. Leaders are responsible for establishing systems and structures that support a culture that prioritizes worker safety. Blame-centered culture reinforces our natural instinct of self preservation over disclosure; silence and secrecy over candor and open communication. Also, actions mean more than words. Leaders need to ensure actions and directives echo policy statements, and vice versa. So, what can you do? Ensure that you have an environment where staff feel comfortable reporting issues, where supervisors and managers appreciate staff input and take action to address these concerns. Having little or no reported concerns is a red flag and is a prime indicator that staff do not understand or feel comfortable reporting issues. Ensure that staff are trained about the specific tasks and hazards in your workplace, not just general safety measures, and equip supervisors and managers with the tools and knowledge they need to be successful and manage the workers under their care. To read more about the incident, the Ministry of Labour, Labour, Immigration, Training and Skills Development has published a court bulletin: https://news.ontario.ca/mlitsd/en For any assistance or answers about how you can bolster your health and safety systems and due diligence, contact our resident safety expert Jennifer Goertzen, CRSP .
12 Apr, 2024
As we near the end of Tax Season, please note our office hours below:  Hours until April 29th Monday – Friday 8:30am – 5:30pm Thursday evenings 6:30pm – 8:00pm (closed from 5:30pm- 6:30pm) Saturdays 9:00am – 12:00pm Hours on April 30th 8:30am – 5:00pm Hours May 1st – May 3rd Closed Hours beginning May 6th Monday – Thursday 8:30am – 5:00pm Friday 8:30am – 4:30pm
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